MLB Mid-Season Progress Report Card

mlbIt’s the midway point of the Major League Baseball season.  It was exciting first half that will end with what should be an exciting All-Star Weekend (especially if one Yasiel Puig is allowed to play).  While the results so far appears as previously predicted, there have been some absolute shockers.

So without further ado, here is how my and baseball expert Lauren Woode (follow her on Twitter @LaurenIsLive) picks are looking at the halfway point…

American League

American League East

Actual Standings Lauren’s Prediction My Prediction
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays Boston Red Sox

Analysis:  Talk about sucking a big one in predicting this thing.  I never thought that last year’s cellar-dwelling Red Sox would be the best team in the AL at the All-Star break.  That happens when you have the best offense in the AL – scoring the most runs, having the best on-base percentage and the second highest batting average.  What a difference a year sans Bobby Valentine makes.  Meanwhile Lauren was pretty much spot on, which is why she is the baseball expert and not me.

American League Central

Actual Standings Lauren’s Prediction My Prediction
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians Kansas City Royals Chicago White Sox
Kansas city Royals Cleveland Indians Cleveland Indians
Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins

Analysis:  The only surprise here is the Indians are in contention in this division.  Given new manager Terry Francona’s acumen, we should have known better.  Man, the Twins have fallen mighty hard since signing Joe Mauer to that phat extension a few years back…

American League West

Actual Standings Lauren’s Prediction My Prediction
Oakland A’s Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers Texas Rangers Oakland A’s
Los Angeles Angels Oakland A’s Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners Houston Astros Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros Seattle Mariners Houston Astros

Analysis:  Man, the Angels have not done Lauren and I any favors.  Who knew that free-agent acquisition Josh Hamilton would fall on his face so far this season?  Props to the Rangers for still balling despite losing Hamilton to the Angels.  The A’s, along with the Rays, are the best dollar-for-dollar franchise in MLB.  While the Mariners are predictably bad, my heart goes out to Astros fans.  First MLB screwed you over by changing leagues (instead of Arizona), now your team sucks to high heaven.

National League

National League East

Actual Standings Lauren’s Prediction My Prediction
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals Washington Nationals Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets New York Mets New York Mets
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins Miami Marlins

Analysis:  Nothing new to report here.  This division has shaped into what we both expected – except the Nationals are looking up at the Braves.  I expect the Braves the break this division open after the All-Star break.  The Nationals withstood a rash of injuries, but they may be too far behind in the wildcard chase to make some noise.  The Marlins are predictably a minor league club that should be contracted and the word “Mets” still stands for “My Entire Team Sucks”.

National League Central

Actual Standings Lauren’s Prediction My Prediction
St. Louis Cardinals Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates St. Louis Cardinals Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds Milwaukee Brewers St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs

Analysis:  We both did not see the Pirates coming.  That is good news for their fans and for MLB.  While the Cardinals – a.k.a. “Team Cockroach” – has made me look really bad, the Brewers actually made me look worse.  This division (and the AL East) is one of the strongest in baseball.  Both wildcards should easily come from this division.

National League West

Actual Standings Lauren’s Prediction My Prediction
Arizona Diamondbacks San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants San Diego Padres Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres Colorado Rockies San Diego Padres

Analysis:  Not many people saw the Diamondbacks coming, but I think they’ll come back to earth in the second half of the season.  What’s really impressive was the Dodgers’ ability to weather the storm with injuries, and battle back to second place in the division.  Meanwhile, San Fran did Lauren and I no favors at all, though I think they’ll make a second half push.  Make no mistake, this division is perhaps the most wide-open in MLB.



Categories: baseball, MLB

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1 reply

  1. Excellent. Most analysts never go back and see how their predictions actually turned out. They just pretend that they had it perfect and go on to their football picks. The unpredictability is what makes it interesting. Anyone who really knows what’s going to happen wouldn’t be writing about it; he’d be in Vegas making the sportsbooks beg for mercy!

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